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Market Updates
  • Cotton

    Cotton ended the week quite poorly. Thursday’s bearish cotton export data triggered a test of pivotal moving average sup

    Cotton April 17, 2015 1:50 PM CDT by Dan Vaught

    Cotton ended the week quite poorly. Thursday’s bearish cotton export data triggered a test of pivotal moving average support for the nearby ICE contracts. They bounced later in the day, but Friday’s big stock market losses seemingly spurred fresh selling. Losses in the expiring May contract were limited, but deferred futures close below major moving average support. May cotton slumped 0.69 cents to 63.32 cents/pound shortly after noon (EDT) Friday, while December futures tumbled 0.98 to 63.64.

  • Hogs

    Wholesale strength limited CME hog losses. Bullish seasonal expectations are built into hog futures, so divergences from

    Hogs April 17, 2015 1:49 PM CDT by Dan Vaught

    Wholesale strength limited CME hog losses. Bullish seasonal expectations are built into hog futures, so divergences from an upward cash trend, as seemed to be the case this morning, tend to weigh on Chicago prices. However, midsession news of modest pork gains apparently limited the decline, since that encourages packer demand for swine. June hog futures slipped settled just 0.10 cents lower at 76.27 cents/pound Friday, while December sank 0.52 to 67.87.

  • Cattle

    Cash losses sparked another breakdown in cattle futures. Today’s cattle events were quite similar to those seen last wee

    Cattle April 17, 2015 1:49 PM CDT by Dan Vaught

    Cash losses sparked another breakdown in cattle futures. Today’s cattle events were quite similar to those seen last week, when talk of cash market losses sent Chicago prices tumbling. Weak midsession beef quotes seemed to trigger the CME drop, which then accelerated upon news of lower cash market declines. June and August cattle futures plunged the 3.00-cent daily trading limit, ending Friday at 149.00 and 146.67 cents/pound, respectively. Meanwhile, May and August feeder cattle futures plummeted the expanded 4.50-cent feeder limit to respectively close at 208.52 and 210.20 cents/pound.

  • Wheat & Rice

    Wheat futures also weakened into Friday’s close. Speculative/hedge buying seemed to boost winter wheat futures as the we

    Wheat & Rice April 17, 2015 1:48 PM CDT by Dan Vaught

    Wheat futures also weakened into Friday’s close. Speculative/hedge buying seemed to boost winter wheat futures as the weekend loomed, but the market ran out of steam Friday afternoon. Improved rainfall and weak demand prospects seemingly weighed on Minneapolis prices. Wire service sources cited late technical selling, but we also suspect long liquidation. May CBOT wheat stalled at $4.945/bushel at their Friday settlement, while May KC wheat inched up 1.0 cent to $5.0925/bushel, but May MWE wheat skidded 2.25 to $5.3275.

  • Soybeans

    The soy complex softened as the weekend neared. Although futures didn’t react quickly, the soybean and meal results on T

    Soybeans April 17, 2015 1:48 PM CDT by Dan Vaught

    The soy complex softened as the weekend neared. Although futures didn’t react quickly, the soybean and meal results on Thursday’s USDA Export Sales report were surprisingly good. Those markets posted a Thursday rally and sustained gains this morning. Today’s energy market losses apparently dragged soyoil futures downward. Indeed, big equity losses may also have exerted downward pressure upon the ag markets prior to their week-ending settlement. May soybean futures ended Friday having climbed 2.75 cents to $9.6875/bushel, while May soyoil slid 0.24 cents to 31.52 cents/pound, and May meal advanced $2.6 to $315.0/ton.

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  • Dan Manternach
    Dan Manternach posted a new report Fri at 5:54 PM
    Commodity Digest - Soy Complex
    Commodity Digest - Soy Complex

    Highlights from this week's issue: 
    Why the rains in the Plains may not have been just a fluke, but a trend change
    Why the biggest risk of a surge in futures has little to do with supply and demand
    How much the change in the long-term weather ...<...  more

  • Jim Wyckoff's Top Trading Ideas--April 17
    Jim Wyckoff's Top Trading Ideas--April 17

    My top three trading ideas of the week. ...read more

  • Dan Manternach
    Dan ManternachWheat & Rice Fri at 2:53 PM
    Apr 17 Closing Rice Perspective and Advice Update
    Apr 17 Closing Rice Perspective and Advice Update

    Rice remains caught in a trading range but again mostly on the defensive after disappointing export sales this week ...read more

  • Dan Manternach
    Dan ManternachCotton Fri at 2:51 PM
    Apr 17 Closing Cotton Perspective and Advice Update
    Apr 17 Closing Cotton Perspective and Advice Update

    Cotton futures got hammered today by a combination of negative export sales, more rain for Texas and new demand worries ...read more

  • Bill  Nelson
    Bill NelsonSoybeans Fri at 2:49 PM
    Soybeans – Closing Perspectives and Marketing Advice
    Soybeans – Closing Perspectives and Marketing Advice

    Soybeans scratched out closing gains for the May futures each of the final four days of the week ...read more

  • Dan Manternach
    Dan ManternachWheat & Rice Fri at 2:48 PM
    Apr 17 Closing Wheat Perspective and Advice Update
    Apr 17 Closing Wheat Perspective and Advice Update

    Not even a tiny rebound could be sustained in the face of substantial rains falling out west and likely pop in ratings ...read more

  • Bill  Nelson
    Bill NelsonSoybeans Fri at 2:20 PM
    Soybean Meal

    A strong crush report supported meal prices ...read more

  • Bill  Nelson
    Bill NelsonSoybeans Fri at 2:16 PM
    Soybean Oil

    Soybean oil prices were supported by gains in crude oil ...read more

  • Dan Vaught
    Dan VaughtHogs Fri at 2:13 PM
    Closing Hog Comments--04/17/2015
    Closing Hog Comments--04/17/2015

    The USDA estimates this week’s slaughter total at a stunning 2.243 million head, which represents a stunning 12% surge ...read more

  • Bill  Nelson
    Bill NelsonSoybeans Fri at 2:11 PM
    Soybean Outlook

    Soybeans gained on strong crush news ...read more

  • Martyn Foreman
    Martyn ForemanFeedgrains Fri at 1:53 PM
    Commodity Digest - Corn
    Commodity Digest - Corn

     
    Corn futures closed .75 to 2.75 cents per bushel higher for the week.  
    Wet conditions causing early season planting delays.
    Weather forecasts are mixed for the next 1-2 weeks....  more

  • Martyn Foreman
    Martyn ForemanFeedgrains Fri at 1:37 PM
    Corn - Closing Perspective and Market Advice
    Corn - Closing Perspective and Market Advice

    Friday’s gains carried futures to a steady to higher weekly close. ...read more

  • Martyn Foreman
    Martyn ForemanFeedgrains Fri at 1:35 PM
    Sorghum - Closing Perspective and Market Advice
    Sorghum - Closing Perspective and Market Advice

    The late week rally in corn futures helped boost sorghum prices. ...read more

  • Martyn Foreman
    Martyn ForemanCattle Fri at 1:31 PM
    Cattle: Closing Perspective & Current Advice
    Cattle: Closing Perspective & Current Advice

    Cattle futures plunged Friday along with weaker cash trade. ...read more